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  1. #11
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    J 3000 The fall highs were ABC rallies which were lower then the summer highs.

    End of July would get out

    Reason Decenial pattern

    According to R W miller if one were out of the market @ the start of the zero entered the S&P 500 on June 30th of the second year then were out from AUG through OCT of the 7th year & re entered until the end of the 9th year. The value of $1 invested in 1900 would be worth 6660.86 in 2002 verses 146.11 were you invested over the entire period. Awareness of the cycle would have produced 44.9 times the return.


  2. #12
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    Would be out by Oct latest.

    Peter Elaides market letter for Oct of 2007 stated in the DJI the prior 11 decennial pattern 7 year patterns from second day of trading in Oct to the 7th of Nov close the DJI was average down over 14% a year based on high low closes. 2007 DJI was down over 5% for that time period. Never did the math for last 12 times.

  3. #13
    Senior Member zylon's Avatar
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    "When Your Uber Driver Tells You To Sell Naked Put Options…"

    What’s different today is taxi/uber drivers aren’t just buying stocks on leverage, they’re essentially selling insurance against a decline in the stock market. The trouble is, “The more people write financial insurance, the more likely it is that a disaster will happen,” as Victor Haghani, a partner at Long-Term Capital Management, puts it. And by the time the trade has become so popular that your uber driver is talking about it a “disaster” might already be unavoidable.
    https://www.thefelderreport.com/2017...d-put-options/




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  5. #14
    Senior Member zylon's Avatar
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  6. #15
    Senior Member zylon's Avatar
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    S&P 500 gaps filled. See post #6.

    Now what? -20% bear sniffing the air?

    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24...d=p26645625058


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