Canadian Money Forum banner

Thoughts on DFN : Dividend 15 ?

22K views 12 replies 8 participants last post by  Sleeponit100 
#1 ·
I just saw the ad in the GAM today for the dividend15 with a yield of 10.7%.
A little research showed this has actually paid a $0.10 monthly dividend for the past several years even through the latest market slump.

This is a split stock company that has both preferred and common shares of 15 Canadian Blue Chips.

The MER seems to be 1.5%.

Has anyone held this long-term?
 
#3 ·
oh, my. This instrument is a potential disaster. It's a split, so it offers class A shares and preferred shares.

the preferreds pay a dividend north of 5% and are backed by the blue-chip dividend-paying stocks in the portfolio.

class A shares pay a dividend north of 10% that's backed solely by an option writing program including - here's the dangerous part - invasion of capital. Not invasion of the original common stock, because this is pledged to the preferred shareholders. However capital gains that occur as markets rise & short option positions get exercised are paid out to class A shareholders in order to beef up that unrealistic 10% dividend.

a more reasonable program would have class A shareholders benefiting from option sales alone. In a prudent strategy, capital gains from assignments would be reinvested in additional common stock. As a matter of fact, in a properly-managed strategy there would be almost no assignments. A reasonable program paying out only the proceeds of option sales would produce a modest return for class A shareholders of approximately 5-6%. The combined return from both dividends and option sales from the 15 large cap underlying companies would hover near 10% per annum. This is far below the unsustainable 15% that this instrument is throwing off.

although the preferred shareholders are protected, the class A shareholders are cannibalizing themselves. Come a prolonged plateau or downturn in the market, there will be no capital gains to pay out. Worse, the option premiums will drop, unless the manager increases put selling, although the structure of the instrument (ie protection of capital for benefit of preferred shareholders) will fix a limit on that.

another fatal flaw for class A shareholders is the transformation of what should be most-favourabliy-taxed capital gains into less-favourably-taxed dividends paid to the shareholder. This is especially harmful as we enter the present era of federally-prescribed gradually lower dividend tax credits. This negative feature alone is enough to disqualify dfn from serious consideration.

the pity is that many will believe that the 10% return on class A shares arises from dividends. Fortunately for the public, some doubts have been raised by a few bloggers & financial writers. The principal doubt has been absence of clarity about this instrument's operations.

clarity ? One could describe dfn class A as a ponzi scheme that flourishes in bull markets. Write call and put options. Shares rise and get assigned. Recklessly pay out exaggerated dividends with gains from share sales under assignment. Replace distributed cash with incoming money from new investors attracted by the astonishingly high return. Buy new shares. Write more options. Bankroll just enough cash to support excessive dividend through short-lived downturn or crash periods like the 6 months oct/08-mar/09. Have zero strategy for prolonged downturns or frank recessions. Rinse and repeat.
 
#4 ·
There's a good article by Canadian financial author Larry MacDonald that I participated in giving some comments on regarding this split corp structure.

The difficulty many investors have is figuring out "how" that yield is achieved; which isn't simply an addition of the underlying yields. The lack of transparency due to options trading is the key issue. The preferred series would be a decent investment, but IMO not the capital share version.
 
#5 ·
the drawback to the comments that you mention - and the reason why i didn't post the links - is that none of them take examination of the option strategy to a deep enough level. By & large they merely state that the writer doesn't "understand" the platform.

there's nothing wrong with owning a selection of large caps, collecting their dividends & harvesting prudent option sales. Cash returns from such a combo strategy usually hover near the 10% mark, all favourably taxed, without taking into consideration any notional gain or loss in the underlying security. Since well-chosen common stock performs well over long time frames such as half-a-lifetime, this is a successful strategy.

where this particular instrument dips down into danger is allowing assignments to proceed recklessly & using these gains from assigned stock sales to beef up the class A dividend, ie the class A shares are cannibalizing themselves. Such a fund must either attract new money - perhaps that's why we're seeing the ads - or it will consume itself. It's worth noting that in any winding-up of this fund, the preferred shareholders will have the right to the original blocks of underlying stock, while the class A shareholders will take the leftovers if any. Should there have been excessive put sales in a down market, for example, there could be little or nothing left over for the class As.
 
#6 ·
One thing that is not mentioned in posts or links is that DFN trades at a premium to its asset value. Right now the asset value is ( common and preferred shares combined) is 20.36. Now take away the preferred share -$10 you have 10.36 while the stock is trading at 12.52. No wonder they are always selling more stock in secondary offerings any time the stock get high to dilute the premium.
 
#7 ·
True.

Another point to my way of thinking is that the capital shares are intended for capital gains - dividends are gravy. When I look at the underlying portfolio plus the last couple of years trading range for DFN, both are in the upper ranges. I'm not expecting booming growth in those areas.

On that basis alone, I'd look for other opportunities.
 
#10 ·
Perhaps I should ask if PIC.A is similar to DFN
I hold PIC.A and after reading the above,
I think it's similar and I'm now considering
getting rid of it after the next distribution.
Your thoughtful insight on PIC.A is greatly appreciated.
Check the prospectus and financial statements. What is the payout?
How is it divided? When would it be suspended?

The criteria is how much of the combined preferred plus capital share dividends
can be paid out of the portfolio income. Then too, look for statements commiting to
option writing and high payments to the manager.
Another check is now often more shares are being offered - is it reasonable?

Fictional Example:

Capital plus Preferred dividend = $0.60 + $0.70 = $1.30
Outstanding Capital shared = Preferred shared = 1000 [ as I said, fictional ... *grin*]

For a reasonable invesment:
Over the last five years, the porfolio income has been minimum $1500/year
Manager charges $200 / year
Requirement is for $1300 / year while cash is $1300 / year.
If the portfolio has a low turnover + rising dividends + few offers of
new shares, it should be in good shape.

For a risky invesment:
Over the last five years, the porfolio income has been minimum $1000/year
Manager charges $500 / year
Requirement is for $1300 / year while cash is $500 / year.
If the portfolio has a high turnover + rising dividends + offers new
shares every six month, it is a risk.


I'm guessing that since for PIC.A, the Capital dividend is less than
the Preferred, this is better than DFN when the Capital dividend is $1.20 /year and
the Preferred is $0.54 / year.

Bottom line is that unless someone else goes through the details for you,
you might have to do some research to check.
 
#11 ·
Dfn/ pic.a

Eclectic,
that's my problem. I don't understand the prospectus,
financial statements nor the options strategy.
At the time, I only cared that the class A shares paid
over 10% and they consisted of relatively safe bank stock.

Humble Pie,
could you please provide the same on PIC.A,
as you so thoroughly detailed DFN.
 
#12 · (Edited)
Eclectic,
that's my problem. I don't understand the prospectus,
financial statements nor the options strategy.
At the time, I only cared that the class A shares paid
over 10% and they consisted of relatively safe bank stock.

Humble Pie,
could you please provide the same on PIC.A,
as you so thoroughly detailed DFN.
With several of the prspectus I've read, I've had to re-read them a couple of times - in some cases, putting them aside before re-reading them. So it may take a while.

Some factors from the prospectus that will help are:
a) statements indicating what is expected to pay for the dividends. One I looked at indicated that the preferred shared dividends were from the portfolio while the capital shared dividends were to be a combination of portfolio plus options.
b) events that cancel the dividend payment. One stated that the capital shared dividend could be suspended at managements discretion. This means in a downturn, costs can be cut (though the capital share price likely would be hit as investors don't like dividend suspentions or cuts).
c) what stocks are in the portfolio. This isn't a likely example but if the lowest yield on a stock in the portfolio at the time the original shares were issued was 5% and the combined preferred/capital yield is 4% - then options aren't required to fund the payouts.

As for the financial statements, you are most interested in the items that will affect the ability to fund the total dividends. Some of the key factors will be income (if you are lucky, there will be some indication of how much is portfolio income and other sources) and expenses - particularly fees for managing the portfolio/options writing.

As well, check how many shares are outstanding. Management can issue more and investors can redeem unit, so the original number in the prospectus is not the number to use to figure out how much the total dividends work out to.

Example:
Prospectus says -
1 Capital share is issued for 1 Preferred
1 million outstanding (so 1 million capital and 1 million preferred)
Portfolio is to pay for all of preferred and some of capital dividends.
Dividends can never grow, preferred always paid and capital paid at manager's discretion, where capital is paid $0.64 yearly/share and preferred is paid $0.86 year/share.

Starting requirements are 1 million x ($0.64 + $0.86) = 1.5 million / year

Financial statement
Total Income = 2 million
Managers Fee = 1.2 million

Ignoring that there could be other expenses, already it looks like it is not sustainable. They need 1.5 million if both dividends are to be paid and they only have 0.8 million available. The total income inclues options so their only other source of money is to sell more shares.


As for the options strategy, I haven't figured out a way to get a handle on this. The best so far that I've seen is the financial statements spelling out how much of the total income was portfolio income, how much was interest, how much was options strategy.

The other two gauges that I can think of are:
1) check www.sedar.com to see how often new shares are being offered.
2) check the fund's website for tax forms on the PIC.A distributions. I believe that using new shares proceeds should be classed as return of capital (RoC). If the tax forms are showing steady RoC over several years, I'll be concerned.

I wish it was the "good old days" where the split shares were all dividends to preferreds, capital shares are all capital and none of this unclear options writing stuff!!
 
#13 ·
Obviously this fund doesn't rely only on the dividends of the "basket of Canadian blue chip companies it holds" .
Each of these have about a 5% yield only.
Anyone think about the possibilities of leveraging?
$1000 of blue chip shares yield only 5% but if they borrow $9000-they are now yielding 50% on $1000.
Maybe the interest on the loan is 5%.
Plus the management team only focuses on 15 companies.
Over 15 years they have become very knowledgeable about the ups and downs of these 15 companies and perhaps know when to buy them and when to sell them.
Recently the NAV dropped below $15-no dividend was paid to class A shares,(the fund has a rule that if NAV drops below $15 ,no dividend will be paid to the class A shareholders.) just the preferred shares continued to receive a dividend.
What did this company do? Asked for permission to buy back shares from the market.(we are talking in the millions)
Result? They have now reduced the outstanding shares forcing the remaining shares to increase in NAV.
Result? They started paying the dividend again.
Class A pays $0.10 PER MONTH-that's $1.20 per year.
 
This is an older thread, you may not receive a response, and could be reviving an old thread. Please consider creating a new thread.
Top